Illiquidity Factor in China

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Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for Illiquidity Factor in China in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 42 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
6.52%
Sharpe
0.39
Max DD
-57.88%
Vol
23.22%
Sortino
0.61
Beta
0.64

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Momentum rotationAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Illiquidity Factor in China
# Detected pattern: Momentum rotation
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Hold top 1 by 126-day return; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        scores = {}
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            hist = self.History(symbol, 126 + 5, Resolution.Daily)
            if hist.empty: continue
            close = hist["close"]
            if hasattr(close, "unstack"):
                close = close.unstack(level=0).iloc[:, 0]
            if len(close) < 126 + 1: continue
            scores[symbol] = float(close.iloc[-1] / close.iloc[-126 - 1] - 1)
        ranked = sorted(scores.items(), key=lambda kv: kv[1], reverse=True)[:1]
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, 0)
        if ranked:
            w = 1.0 / len(ranked)
            for symbol, _ in ranked:
                self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.

Academic paper

Is Illiquidity Priced in the Chinese Stock Market?

AuthorsJun Liu; Kai Wu; Lang Zheng

Institute
  • NLTIAS School for Business and Society
  • NLTilburg University
  • ?Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society
  • Central University of Finance and Economics
  • ?Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE) - School of Finance
  • ?Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE)

Screenshot from the original paper

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

Strategy in a nutshell

Universe: Chinese A-shares from WIND (Shanghai + Shenzhen Stock Exchanges).

Signal: Inverse turnover (INVTO) = 1 ÷ turnover ratio.

Turnover ratio = traded shares ÷ total shares (per month).

Portfolio construction:

Value-weighted, rebalanced monthly.

Sort all stocks each month into 5 quintiles by INVTO.

Long quintile 5 (highest INVTO = lowest turnover = least traded = more illiquid).

Short quintile 1 (lowest INVTO = highest turnover = most liquid).

Economic rationale

Liquidity is central in China:

Trading mechanism: Call + continuous auction; low counterparties = higher liquidity risk.

Investor base: Retail dominance (≈99.7% of accounts) → speculative, short-term, high turnover.

Short selling restrictions: Limited (<1% of trading volume), gradually rising but still low → increases market friction.

Higher cost of capital: China’s equity cost is higher than the US (Carpenter et al., 2021), making liquidity factors especially powerful predictors.

Implication: Illiquidity premium exists → stocks with lower turnover (higher INVTO) deliver higher returns because investors demand compensation for bearing liquidity risk.

Backtest performance

Annualised return6.52%
Volatility23.22%
Beta0.64
Sharpe ratio0.39
Sortino ratio0.61
Maximum drawdown-57.88%