Pre-Earnings Buyback Announcement Momentum Strategy

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Quant Buffet native backtest IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for Pre-Earnings Buyback Announcement Momentum Strategy in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

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IDE · 36 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
6.00%
Sharpe
0.63
Max DD
-18.15%
Vol
10.11%
Sortino
0.93
Beta
0.35
Up days
26%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Absolute momentumAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Pre-Earnings Buyback Announcement Momentum Strategy
# Detected pattern: Absolute momentum
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: abs_momentum — Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.

Academic paper

[Click to Open

AuthorsNadja Guenster; Erik Kole; Ben Jacobsen

Institute
  • University of California, Berkeley
  • ?University of Muenster - Finance Center Muenster
  • NLTinbergen Institute
  • NLErasmus University Rotterdam
  • Environmental Research Institute of Michigan
  • ?ERIM
  • ?Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics - Econometric Institute
  • NLTilburg University
  • NZMassey University
  • NLTIAS School for Business and Society
  • ?Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society

Screenshot from the original paper

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

Strategy in a nutshell

The investment universe consists of stocks from NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq (no ADRs, CEFs or REITs), bottom 25% of firms by market cap are dropped. Each quarter, the investor looks for companies that announce a stock repurchase program (with announced buyback for at least 5% of outstanding stocks) during days -30 to -15 before the earnings announcement date for each company. Investor goes long stocks with announced buybacks during days -10 to +15 around an earnings announcement. The portfolio is equally weighted and rebalanced daily.

Economic rationale

The academic paper states that it is generally accepted that managers have more information about the firm than investors. Given this information asymmetry, managers can make informed decisions about corporate actions such as equity offerings or repurchases. The announcement of stock repurchase or secondary equity offering is voluntary and can be easily moved by a few weeks or months. Therefore the timing of SEO or repurchase announcement before earnings announcement could be perceived as important information about the future performance of stock during the earnings announcement period.

Backtest performance

Annualised return6.00%
Volatility10.11%
Beta0.35
Sharpe ratio0.63
Sortino ratio0.93
Maximum drawdown-18.15%
Win rate26%